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Climate Change –Globally the attention is what happens in the post-Kyoto world and the move to implement the Paris Agreement. In the medium term much of the focus will be on the impact of the Trump presidency. However with or without the US much of the world is moving towards lower carbon economies with different levels of success, cost and disruption. In NZ the emphasis is on the ETS, which has gained some teeth with removal of ‘hot air units’ and subsidies being phased out. A review this year could add more bite, but the election will cause uncertainty over the direction. NZ will have to rely on forestry offsets and international carbon trading to meet its Paris Agreement commitments on current policy settings. This will all cause further uncertainty, new technology is offering potential solutions, but the treatment of animal emissions remains a difficult issue
Water – Abundant water remains one of NZ’s greatest blessings, but despite this there is pressure on supplies, arguments over ownership and questions over quality. The Government’s attempts to ramp up storage and irrigation have had mixed success. Freshwater quality remains a very hot political topic with the Govt trying to balance economic priorities with improving standards. Water may be a simple substance but the policy is complex and the politics difficult. So far there has been little progress in reforming water allocation, which is a political minefield to navigate.
Oil & Gas – NZ remains highly prospective and under explored, especially offshore. However a new wave of exploration activity both onshore and offshore has run smack into a glut of global oil and slack prices. Efforts to attract new investors to NZ have had limited success and there is still vocal opposition to any oil and gas exploration and exploitation. The retail oil sector is also facing pressure to rationalise and ongoing public pressure about margins. The Govt says it wants to ensure the market remains competitive, this could result in regulatory changes to access to refined oil from Marsden Point.
Oceans – Exclusive Economic Zone legislation is still bedding in and will be reviewed, with some urging greater protection and others concerned no seabed mining project has managed to get over the regulatory hurdles. The Environmental Protection Authority will come under scrutiny in this area and others. There are also pushes for more unified ocean policy and legislation to reform outdated marine reserves law will throw a focus on this contentious area. The Govt wants to get legislation passed setting up a marine reserve around the Kermadecs..
The Future Of Coal – King Coal may not quite be dead, but it is certainly ailing. Global over supply has many predicting a price slump will last for years. Despite intense pressure from environmentalists to stop coal burning, it remains a major source of energy in NZ and around the world. The Govt wants to make more efficient industrial heating a priority which could result in more moves away from coal..
Electricity Generation - The Government’s electricity reforms have boosted retail competition creating a swathe of new retailers. Electricity demand has barely moved in the last five years and questions over the future of major electricity users with the rise of geothermal power has brought forward the closure of high cost thermal plant. New technology is creating uncertainty for both generators and distributors with some fearing expensive assets being stranded, however others feel a lack of investment will put security of supply at risk, while driving prices back up again. The Electricity Authority’s reform of pricing methodologies and the treatment of new technologies will be a continuing policy and political Faultline.
Renewable Energy – The Government’s goal is 90% electricity generation from renewable sources. This is looking achievable with wind and geothermal energy making up the largest increments of recently commissioned new generation, while gas and coal is driven out of the market. Solar photovoltaic technology and battery costs are falling, making it an increasingly realistic option for small-scale electricity generation. This will bring both opportunities and threats for the entire sector.
RMA Reform – After years in gestation the latest round of RMA reform will be a centrepiece for political debate in election year. The balancing act between economic development and environmental sustainability is always a difficult one, but housing issues have made it one of the most important political issues in election year. There is also a growing belief that the RMA should be split into separate planning and environment law, it may sound appealing, but it will not be as simple as some people imagine. Critics are watching closely, and so will NZ Energy & Environment Business Alert.
Energy Efficiency – Energy efficiency is becoming increasingly essential for businesses, and the nationwide roll-out of smart meters holds the prospect of major changes in both retail electricity offerings and the capacity for consumers to manage their energy use. Find out about new technologies to cut your energy bills and discover what other organisations are doing to slash consumption and improve efficiency.
Bio-Fuels – Bio-fuels have largely been forgotten in recent years, but many still argue they are a way forward in reducing emissions and loosening the economy’s reliance on oil. Lanzatech is one of the NZ companies at the forefront of efforts to find new technologies to produce lower carbon fuels. Others such as Z Energy are also keen to improve their ‘green’ image with the greater use of biofuels. NZ Energy & Environment Business Alert will keep tabs on these developments.
Science & Innovation – Finding solutions to our future energy and environmental issues will depend on products, services and industries which may not even exist yet. Initiatives to research agricultural greenhouse gas emission reductions are important both to NZ’s growth rates and its defence of its environmentally clean image.
If your organisation is involved in, or affected by energy efficiency, renewable energy, water, waste, sanitation, land management, climate change or air quality, you are playing a part in shaping New Zealand’s investment in the future.
Engineers, consultants, insurers, technology providers, scientists, service companies and infrastructure developers all need the latest analysis and interpretation of trends in the energy and environment marketplace.
Government departments, local authorities, regional councils, shareholders, accountants, investors, bankers, insurers, legal advisors, exporters and manufacturers are all affected by a broad based market shift towards sustainability.
NZ Energy & Environment Business Alert is written and edited in a clear, concise style and focuses specifically on the situations confronting you every day. Advertising is not accepted. Editors have no allegiance to any political party or other outside lobby groups. Their duty is solely to you, the client.
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IN THIS WEEK'S ISSUE
22 March 2017
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